Will China launch a military invasion of Taiwan by end of 2027?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the People's Liberation Army conducts an amphibious landing or large-scale ground assault on Taiwan-controlled territory (including Taiwan main island, Penghu, Kinmen, or Matsu) before 23:59 UTC on Dec 31, 2027, as reported by at least two of Reuters, AP, and AFP. Blockades, missile strikes, or grey-zone incursions alone do not resolve YES.