Reference

China Economic Data — Official Figures, Revisions & Breaks

China's headline economic figures as published, with the methodology changes and series breaks that make them easy to misread. Every number here is an official release — nothing is modelled, forecast, or derived from Trueindex's markets.

Figures verified through 31 December 2024

GDP growth · % year on year

PeriodValue
20245.0
20235.2
20223.0Zero-COVID lockdowns; the published target had been 'around 5.5%'.
20218.4
20202.2No growth target was set for 2020, the only such year in recent record.

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

Consumer price index · % year on year

PeriodValue
20240.2
20230.2
20222.0
20210.9

Two consecutive years near zero. China's CPI basket weights food and housing differently from US or EU baskets, so the headline number is not directly comparable to theirs.

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

Exports · % year on year, USD

PeriodValue
2024+5.9
2023-4.6First annual decline since 2016.
2022+7.0

Source: General Administration of Customs of China

Youth unemployment (16–24, urban) · %

PeriodValue
Dec 202314.9First print under the revised methodology, which excludes students seeking work.
Aug–Nov 2023—Publication suspended. The NBS said the series needed 'further improvement'.
Jun 202321.3Record high, and the last figure published before the suspension.

The break in this series is the single most important thing to understand about it. Figures from December 2023 onward are NOT comparable with the pre-suspension series, because the definition changed at the same moment publication resumed. Any chart that draws one continuous line through mid-2023 is wrong.

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

Population change · million

PeriodValue
2024-1.39
2023-2.08
2022-0.85First recorded decline since 1961.

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

How to read this

  • Figures are as first published. Where a series was later revised or redefined, that is noted on the row rather than silently corrected — the revision is often the more interesting fact.
  • A dash means publication was suspended, not that the value was zero.
  • Chinese statistical definitions frequently differ from US or EU equivalents. Comparing a Chinese headline figure directly with an American one is usually a mistake, and the notes say so where it matters.